Blackjack – The Advanced Red Seven “true Edge” Part2

Consider what happens to your advantage if, in this same eight-deck game, your running count is +6, but 5 decks have been dealt out, leaving only 3 undealt in the shoe. Your denominator becomes 3×2 = 6, and your fraction is:

6
6 = 1

So, at this point in the shoe, your +6 running count indicates a full 1 % raise in your advantage above your 1/2% pivot advantage, and your total advantage over the house is now 1 1/2%.

Another example: Assume that in this same game you have a running count of +6, but now six of the eight decks have been dealt, with only two left in the shoe. Using the true edge method, your denominator is 2 x 2 = 4, and your fraction is:

6
4 = 11/2

This deep in the shoe, your +6 running count indicates a 1 1/2% raise above your 1/2% pivot advantage, so that your total advantage over the house is now 2%.

Note that as the shoe is dealt deeper, the same +6 running count indicates an increase from your pivot advantage of anywhere from 1/2% to 1 1/2%. In fact, if the dealer distributed all but one of the decks in the shoe, and you found yourself with a +6 running count, your advantage will have risen by:

_6_ 6
1×2 = 2 = 3%

Technically, we are simply applying standard true count theory in a unique way to calculate the increased advantage when the running count rises above the pivot. The advantages calculated with this method are as precise as the standard balanced true-count methods used by most pros. From the examples above, you can see why professional players have always steered away from the running count systems. If you were to always bet according to your running count, then depending on the level of penetration, you will often over or under-bet your true advantage. The true edge method solves the problem.

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