Posts Tagged ‘deck game’
Blackjack – The Hi-lo Lite Point Values
The point values of the Hi-Lo Lite Count are:
A -1
X -1
9 0
8 0
7 0
6 +1
5 +1
4 +1
3 +1
2 +1
As the cards are played, you should keep a running count of all cards seen. After a shuffle, the count always starts at 0. This is a balanced counting system, so if you count down a deck, starting at 0, your final count will end at 0. Because the point values are balanced, you must adjust your running count to the true edge, as all Hi-Lo Lite betting and strategy decisions are made according to the true edge, not the running count.
Important note: If you have not read the section on the Red Seven Count, then go back now and read it, especially the pages that describe the true edge method of running count conversion. The Hi-Lo Lite uses the true edge methodology, which differs from the traditional true-count-per-deck method. The true edge method is simply a quicker and easier method of true count conversion, and just as accurate. In this chapter, I will briefly describe the minor differences between using the true edge method with the Hi-Lo Lite and the Red Seven, but you must read the material in the Red Seven section to fully understand the concept.
As with the Advanced Red Seven Count, we estimate our true edge with the Hi-Lo Lite by dividing the running count by twice the number of remaining decks. Example: you are in a 6-deck game and one deck has been played. Your running count is +15. Your true edge is:
5 (remaining decks) x 2 10
This means that the +15 running count at this point in the shoe indicates that your edge has risen about 1 1/2% above your advantage (or lack of one) off the top of the shoe.
Note that with the Hi-Lo Lite, both our starting count and our pivot are zero, so our pivot advantage is always the same as our advantage off the top. When we used the true edge method with the Red Seven Count, our pivot advantage was always positive, and about 1% higher than our starting advantage. So, the difference between using the true edge method with the Hi-Lo Lite and the Red Seven is that with the Red Seven we are usually adding the true edge to a positive pivot advantage, usually around 1/2%, and with the Hi-Lo Lite, we add our true edge to the starting advantage off the top, which is usually about -1/2%.
In the example above, if this were a 6-deck Atlantic City game, which is -1/2% off the top, then the 1 1/2% gain would indicate a total advantage of about an even 1 %.
Another example: It's the same game, a few minutes later. 2 decks have been played and your running count is -4. Your true edge is:
-4/(4×2) = -4/8 = -1/2
The true edge method differs from the more common true count methodology used for most balanced counting systems, because it directly figures out the approximate gain or loss in the advantage as you make the true edge conversion. I have decided to use this methodology for the Hi-Lo Lite for a number of reasons: I think it's simpler and more convenient to estimate the raise in your edge directly, and since the true edge method works so easily with the Advanced Red Seven, it will also make it easier for Red Seven players to switch over to the Hi-Lo Lite.
With the Hi-Lo Lite, you will also use the true edge method for making your strategy decisions. The traditional true count says to divide your running count by the number of decks remaining; this may sound easy, but when your running count is +11, and 2 1/2 decks remain, what's your true count? Many players are stumped when they try to divide by half-decks, especially with odd-numbered running counts. When you're trying to make a decision quickly, you don't need the aggravation. With the above example and the true edge method, you come up with the fraction 11/5 in an instant, and you know that your edge has risen slightly more than 2%.
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Blackjack – The Advanced Red Seven “true Edge” Part2
Consider what happens to your advantage if, in this same eight-deck game, your running count is +6, but 5 decks have been dealt out, leaving only 3 undealt in the shoe. Your denominator becomes 3×2 = 6, and your fraction is:
6
6 = 1
So, at this point in the shoe, your +6 running count indicates a full 1 % raise in your advantage above your 1/2% pivot advantage, and your total advantage over the house is now 1 1/2%.
Another example: Assume that in this same game you have a running count of +6, but now six of the eight decks have been dealt, with only two left in the shoe. Using the true edge method, your denominator is 2 x 2 = 4, and your fraction is:
6
4 = 11/2
This deep in the shoe, your +6 running count indicates a 1 1/2% raise above your 1/2% pivot advantage, so that your total advantage over the house is now 2%.
Note that as the shoe is dealt deeper, the same +6 running count indicates an increase from your pivot advantage of anywhere from 1/2% to 1 1/2%. In fact, if the dealer distributed all but one of the decks in the shoe, and you found yourself with a +6 running count, your advantage will have risen by:
_6_ 6
1×2 = 2 = 3%
Technically, we are simply applying standard true count theory in a unique way to calculate the increased advantage when the running count rises above the pivot. The advantages calculated with this method are as precise as the standard balanced true-count methods used by most pros. From the examples above, you can see why professional players have always steered away from the running count systems. If you were to always bet according to your running count, then depending on the level of penetration, you will often over or under-bet your true advantage. The true edge method solves the problem.
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