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Blackjack – The Advanced Red Seven “true Edge”

There is a simple and accurate method for estimating your precise advantage at any point in the deal with the Advanced Red Seven Count. I do not recommend this method for any player who finds it confusing or difficult. Such players must resign themselves to using the betting chart shown earlier, along with the advice on bet-sizing according to your bankroll in the following chapter.

Advanced players, however, will want to bet more precisely according to their exact advantage over the house. You may do this with the same precision as users of balanced true count systems by using your running count to make a simple fraction that equates to your true edge over the house.

Many professional players have shied away from the unbalanced counting systems because without a "true count," it's impossible to follow a proportional betting scheme, where each bet is dictated by the approximate advantage on the hand about to be dealt. The true edge method described below solves that problem by directly converting the running count into the precise fractional advantage.

Make a Fraction
First of all, any time your running count is negative, assume that either the house has the advantage, or your advantage is less than 1/2%, so you do not want to bet much more than one unit regardless. Make a fraction only when your running count is positive.
Every fraction has two parts, a numerator and a denominator. The numerator is on top, and the denominator is on the bottom:

Numerator Denominator
In the fraction 1/2, the numerator is 1, and the denominator is 2. To estimate your precise advantage with the Red Seven Count, your numerator, the top number, is your current running count. So if your running count is +6, the fraction becomes:

_6_
Denominator

The denominator is simply twice the number of decks remaining to be dealt. For example, let's say you are in an eight-deck game, and your Red Seven running count is +6. Two decks have been dealt, with six decks remaining in the shoe. Your numerator (the running count) is simply 6, and your denominator is 6 (the number of decks remaining) x 2, or 12. So your fraction is:

6 1
12 = 2

This means your odds have improved by exactly 1/2% above your pivot advantage. If this were a typical eight-deck Atlantic City game, where your pivot (0) indicated a 1/2% advantage, then this +6 running count with 6 decks remaining means your advantage has gone up another 1/2%, so that you now have a full 1% advantage over the house. Note that in order to estimate your true edge, you simply add the amount of the fraction you make with your running count to your pivot advantage.

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